We have cut our global GDP growth forecasts again, and now have reduced our 2021 estimate by a total of 0.7pp since June in response to the spread of...
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Inflation pressures bubble up
Posted by Ben May on Sep 23, 2021 2:39:48 PM
The recent broad-based rises in core inflation across a range of advanced economies has reopened the debate as to whether this year’s rise in...
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Stresses in supply chains build
Posted by Ben May on Sep 7, 2021 10:02:05 AM
Delta remains the primary threat to the recovery, but we also think that the drag from continuing, supply-chain disruption will be critical in the...
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Transitioning to 2022
Posted by Ben May on Aug 24, 2021 10:05:32 AM
We have cut our near-term growth forecasts, in part due to the spread of Delta, and are likely to fine-tune them further in September. But we don’t...
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Delta risks versus inflation risks
Posted by Adam Slater on Aug 10, 2021 9:59:06 AM
We estimate world GDP surpassed pre-pandemic levels in Q2. But in recent weeks surging cases of the Delta variant have added to concerns over the...
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Delta dilemmas
Posted by Ben May on Jul 27, 2021 10:42:10 AM
The spread of the Delta coronavirus variant appears to have usurped inflation as the key concern. The Delta strain will lead to a bumpier and more...
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Delta risks mount
Posted by Ben May on Jul 13, 2021 10:57:30 AM
Concerns within markets about the impact of the Delta variant on the economy is in our view warranted. We have long warned that vaccinations would be...