Adam Slater

Recent Posts

Coronavirus Watch: Partial and patchy recovery

Posted by Adam Slater on Oct 27, 2020 9:27:40 AM

The global recovery from the coronavirus recession remains intact but is patchy across economies and may be faltering in some as the lifting of...

A partial and uneven world trade rebound

Posted by Adam Slater on Oct 26, 2020 10:36:55 AM

Various indicators suggest world trade is recovering but the rebound is partial and uneven across regions, sectors, and other dimensions. Our...

Coronavirus Watch: Services still the key weakness

Posted by Adam Slater on Aug 11, 2020 10:03:29 AM

Some early releases for July, notably services PMIs, have raised hopes of a Vshape recovery. But the outlook remains precarious, as illustrated by...

Incoming retail sales data for June suggest a V-shape recovery in consumer spending. But these data don’t tell the whole story. Recoveries are...

Coronavirus Watch: Bumpy stabilisation

Posted by Adam Slater on Aug 4, 2020 9:20:43 AM

Largely as we expected, GDP data for Q2 published so far show very steep declines of 10%-15% in major economies. Early indications for Q2 for some...

We expect the coronavirus outbreak to have a significant negative impact on world trade over the long term. We forecast the next decade will see...

Corporate borrowing is accelerating as a result of the coronavirus crisis. In part, this is a healthy development as firms look to ride out a...