The outlook for – and risks to – long-term world growth | Global
Our long-term forecasts point to a subdued outlook for world growth. We
expect global GDP to rise by 2.7% per year in the next decade, little changed
from the modest pace seen since 2007, before slowing to 2.4% per year in the 2030s. Risks to our forecasts look mostly to the downside.
Underlying our forecasts is a growing drag from demographic factors
(especially from the late 2020s onwards) and slow investment growth, offset to some extent by a modest improvement in productivity growth.
Download our analysis to find out:
- Long-term forecasts for global growth to 2040.
- Negative effects from factors such as high debt levels and ”Japanification” on investment.
- Risks in emerging markets which are expected to contribute about 23% of world growth from 2020-2040.
Topics: World economy, GDP, Japanification
