Joe Biden’s victory in the US presidential election will not materially change the growth trajectory for the US and the global economy. Nevertheless,...
US | A sobering health and economic outlook for Biden
Posted by Gregory Daco on Nov 9, 2020
Joe Biden will become the 46th president of the United States. But with Republicans likely to retain control of the Senate, Biden will find enacting...
US | Joe Biden wins, but he inherits a frail economy
Posted by Gregory Daco on Nov 9, 2020
Joe Biden will become the 46th president of the United States. But, with Republicans likely to retain control of the Senate, Biden will find enacting...
US | Election uncertainty means less definitive policy agenda
Posted by Gregory Daco on Nov 4, 2020
Despite swirling uncertainty over the outcome of the US elections, two points are clear: The Blue wave didn’t materialize, and a status quo policy...
US | Bidenomics’ positive impacts for US industries and regions
Posted by Oren Klachkin on Oct 29, 2020
Analysing Joe Biden’s policy agenda, we find that all industries and states would fare better than they would under a status quo policy environment....
US | Bidenomics represents an upside policy risks for 2021
Posted by Gregory Daco on Oct 28, 2020
Despite slowing US economic momentum, a worsening health situation, and rising election uncertainty, the policy outlook carries upside risks for the...
US | How Trump and Biden differ (or don’t) on key policies
Posted by Gregory Daco on Oct 22, 2020
If Joe Biden is elected, we look for reversals of President Donald Trump’s policies on immigration, environmental regulation and health care along...
US | Trumpenomics would constrain the Covid-19 recovery
Posted by Gregory Daco on Oct 15, 2020
A second term for Donald Trump would likely constrain the economic recovery relative to a Joe Biden presidency, but the degree of constraint would...
US | How much fiscal stimulus ahead of the elections
Posted by Gregory Daco on Oct 14, 2020
The pre-election uncertainty surrounding a fiscal stimulus package could represent a watershed moment for the US economy as fiscal stimulus is...
US | The economy and voter turnout points to a Biden win
Posted by Gregory Daco on Sep 29, 2020
As we look ahead to the first presidential debate, our economic election models continue to see President Donald Trump losing his reelection bid.
A...