The risk of a shift to a higher inflation regime in advanced economies has risen in the last six months, but markets may be under-pricing the risk in...
Global | Russia-Ukraine tensions: Asset market scenarios
Posted by Tatiana Orlova on Jan 27, 2022
Despite tensions continuing to ratchet higher, on a medium term view we think the balance of probabilities implies a buying opportunity for affected...
Global Cities | Urbanisation continues, led by rapid growth in African cities
Posted by Anthony Bernard-Sasges on Jan 24, 2022
In the next two decades, the world’s 900 major cities will experience a combined population increase of nearly 600 million people. While the largest...
North America | US and Canada housing affordability edged down in Q3
Posted by Oren Klachkin on Jan 21, 2022
Our updated Housing Affordability Indices (HAIs) show affordability declined in Q3 2021 at the national level in the US and Canada as income gains...
Ukraine | Sovereign Eurobonds are a bargain despite risks
Posted by Tatiana Orlova on Jan 20, 2022
Ukraine’s sovereign Eurobond yields soared since mid-November when US sources first reported a build-up of Russian troops along its eastern border....
US | Recovery Tracker hobbles into 2022
Posted by Oren Klachkin on Jan 20, 2022
The US Recovery Tracker fell 0.7ppts to 97.1 in the first week of January, down for a fourth straight week. With the holiday season drag now largely...
US | Retail real estate pricing rebound looks unlikely
Posted by Christopher Babatope on Jan 17, 2022
Much has been written about the rebound in US retail fundamentals with some real estate commentators suggesting that the strengthening near-term...
Russia | Geneva stalemate isn’t an endgame
Posted by Tatiana Orlova on Jan 14, 2022
This week’s talks between Russia, on one side, and on the other the US, NATO and the Organisation of Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), have...
United States | Recoveries in 2022 are inversely proportionate to 2020 declines
Posted by Barbara Byrne Denham on Dec 21, 2021
After decelerating in Q3, US GDP growth resumed a healthy pace in Q4, and is expected to hold steady in 2022, notwithstanding the potential short...
US | How will Biden's infrastructure push affect US industries?
Posted by Oren Klachkin on Dec 16, 2021
The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) will deliver a 2% boost to US construction activity over the next two years, about five times...