With the government confirming that non-essential retailers and outdoor hospitality will reopen in England on Monday, our forecast of a strong...

Our Oxford Economics Normality Tracker improved in March, reflecting a fall in Covid cases, thanks to the January lockdown.This has occurred at a...

Q4’s national accounts revealed GDP falling not quite as far short of pre-Covid levels as previously believed. And a reversion of end-2020’s...

The unexpected resilience of house prices last year sets 2021 up to be another year of rising values. But unsupportive macro factors and the end...

Our latest UK sector forecasts show that we expect services will outpace industrial production this year, in contrast to the sector dynamics other...

This week marked a year since the first lockdown was introduced. Over thatperiod consumers and firms have increasingly adapted to life under...

High-frequency data indicate a broad strengthening in activity since mid February. For Q1, we expect GDP will fall by just 2% q/q, a fraction of...

March’s MPC meeting proved predictably uneventful. Monetary policy was left unchanged, while the committee was relaxed about the recent rise in...

The vaccine programme and the government’s roadmap for relaxing restrictions should support a strong economic recovery without the need for more...

The Chancellor’s ‘spend now, pay later’ Budget delayed the pain of dealing with Covid’s fiscal cost. In the near-term, extending support schemes...