At May’s MPC meeting the committee revised up its forecast for GDP growth in 2021 significantly and laid out its plans to slow the pace of asset...

Recent survey and high-frequency data have boosted hopes that the economy is in the early stages of a strong rebound as lockdown ends. Positively,...

Reflecting recent positive developments, we think the MPC will vote unanimously to keep policy on hold in its May meeting. It will likely also push

A win for pro-independence parties at Scottish elections on May 6 will put Scotland’s exit from the UK back on the political agenda. But in our...

Retail sales surged in March, even though many physical stores remained closed, while the reopening of non-essential stores and outdoor...

March’s pickup in inflation will mark the beginning of a sharp rise over the next few months, as sizeable base effects combine with higher fuel...

Although February saw GDP make only a modest advance in exiting a Covidshaped hole, the month’s 0.4% m/m rise in output should herald the start of...

With the government confirming that non-essential retailers and outdoor hospitality will reopen in England on Monday, our forecast of a strong...

Our Oxford Economics Normality Tracker improved in March, reflecting a fall in Covid cases, thanks to the January lockdown.This has occurred at a...

Q4’s national accounts revealed GDP falling not quite as far short of pre-Covid levels as previously believed. And a reversion of end-2020’s...