Our forecast for Finland’s GDP growth is 3.5% this year before a slowdown to 2.3% in 2022, both unchanged from last month. Growth in Q3 was revised...
Denmark | Solid growth expected despite emergence of Omicron variant
Posted by Rory Fennessy on Dec 16, 2021
Downward revisions to Q2 and Q3 GDP figures and concerns about the spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant have led us to lower our 2022 GDP growth...
Growth in Q3 surprised on the upside based on the flash estimate, with activity in the previous months revised up. As a result, our GDP growth...
Spain | Strong wage gains but limited risk of inflationary cycle
Posted by Angel Talavera on Nov 8, 2021
With inflation in Spain hitting a 30-year high, fears of an inflationary cycle are rising. However, the transition from the present energy-driven...
Sweden | Growth seen at 4.1% in 2021 and 3.2% in 2022, with near-term risks rising
Posted by Daniel Kral on Oct 20, 2021
Although the outlook for Sweden is strong with all restrictions removed, there are downside risks related to persistent supply-chain bottlenecks in...
Eurozone | Why the labour market will recover faster than usual
Posted by Daniela Ordonez on Jul 14, 2021
The eurozone labour market is heating up. We expect around 2 million jobs will be created from Q2 2021 until the end of the year, recovering almost...
US | Enhanced benefits aren’t the labor market’s top problem
Posted by Oren Klachkin on Jun 30, 2021
Enhanced US unemployment benefits are discouraging only a small share of unemployed workers from finding jobs. The disincentive to work is greatest...
US | How much fiscal stimulus ahead of the elections
Posted by Gregory Daco on Oct 14, 2020
The pre-election uncertainty surrounding a fiscal stimulus package could represent a watershed moment for the US economy as fiscal stimulus is...
US | Coronavirus policy response cheat sheet (w/e 25 Sep)
Posted by Oxford Economics on Sep 25, 2020
Life was breathed back into negotiations over another fiscal package this week, with both Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and House Speaker Pelosi saying...
London Monitor: Recovery continues, piece by piece, and not all at once | United Kingdom
Posted by Richard Holt on Sep 15, 2020
London’s economy is clearly recovering from the pandemic, but like London’s people it is not out of danger.