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Russia's GDP is unlikely to return to pre-crisis levels until the early 2030s, according to our modelling. We expect Russia's economy to contract by...
Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the evolving global response will be felt in the MENA economies mainly via the impact on commodity prices. Fuel...
Following Russia's attack on Ukraine, the EU Commission has accelerated plans to phaseout Russian gas, with a two-thirds cut this year. To offset the...
Turkey will take a hit from the Russian invasion of Ukraine through three main channels – tourism, energy prices and financial market disruption –...
The impact of a “limited” incursion by Russia into Ukraine would deal an unwelcome blow to the European economy via higher inflation squeezing real...
We now see UK CPI inflation peaking at 7.5% in April and remaining higher throughout 2022. But inflation should retreat next year, and we see the...
Brent is currently trading at multi-year highs amid low inventories, robust demand and supply concerns. This follows a sharp recovery in demand last...
We see little evidence that the outlook for underlying inflation in the eurozone is much changed from a few months ago. In fact, there’s a high...
The global recovery from the pandemic will be dented but not derailed if high energy prices persist throughout 2022, our modelling finds. In an...
The surge in European gas and electricity prices over recent months pushed energy prices to an all-time high in August, amplifying a pickup in...
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