US supply chain stress tracker brought bad news in February. Inflation took up the baton from transportation and now represents the most stressed...
Asia Pacific | The outlook for food prices in Asia
Posted by Tom Rogers on Jan 12, 2022
For Food Industry Asia, Oxford Economics constructed bespoke forecasts for the food component of the consumer price index in eight Asian economies....
Eurozone | Easing supply bottlenecks to bolster industrial rebound
Posted by Oliver Rakau on Dec 14, 2021
The easing of the severe supply-chain bottlenecks that brought the eurozone’s industrial recovery to a standstill in early 2021 will be gradual, with...
Norway | Outlook for 2022 holding firm despite inflation and Covid headwinds
Posted by Rory Fennessy on Nov 29, 2021
Our 2021 mainland GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.9% after the 2.6% Q3 expansion was broadly in line with our estimate, and we continue to...
Eurozone | Europe’s labour shortages – not all equal
Posted by Daniel Kral on Nov 23, 2021
Although reported labour shortages in the eurozone appear to be worsening, our analysis of the underlying dynamics shows a more nuancedicture. We...
Norway | Forecast for 2021 downgraded slightly, but GDP will still rebound strongly in Q3
Posted by Rory Fennessy on Oct 27, 2021
We have lowered our 2021 mainland GDP growth forecast to 3.9% from 4.1% previously after a softer-than-expected expansion in July. GDP rose by 1.1%...
Canada | Industry mix drives provincial scarring in long pandemic
Posted by Cory Renner on Oct 15, 2021
A sustained pandemic with scarring effects would reduce Canada’s economic growth by close to 0.3ppts per annum between 2021 and 2026. Less...
APAC | Pandemic disrupts FDI, but prospects remain positive
Posted by Sian Fenner on Oct 12, 2021
We believe prospects for FDI inflows into APAC over the medium term remain strong, even though pandemic-driven supply disruptions and uncertainties...
APAC Cities Outlook | Sectoral shifts, rising incomes and demographics create long-term changes
Posted by Mark Britton on Jul 15, 2021
Over the past twenty years parts of Asia Pacific have experienced some of the fastest economic growth globally. This trend is set to continue over...
US | The changing face of manufacturing’s rebound in 2021
Posted by Oren Klachkin on May 6, 2021
US manufacturing activity is currently above pre-coronavirus levels, markingthe fastest and strongest recovery in the past 60 years. A durable goods...