Despite Covid cases rising globally, upside risks to our already relatively optimistic baseline are material. The main risk stems from the...

At May’s MPC meeting the committee revised up its forecast for GDP growth in 2021 significantly and laid out its plans to slow the pace of asset...

US manufacturing activity is currently above pre-coronavirus levels, markingthe fastest and strongest recovery in the past 60 years. A durable...

Norway’s economy is restrained by activity restrictions that aim to maintain tight control over the pandemic. However, once containment measures...

The US Recovery Tracker rose 0.8ppts to 91.2 in the week ended April 16. Improvement in four of the six components kept momentum solid, though the...

The EU’s vaccine rollout will continue picking up steam in coming months after a lacklustre performance in Q1. Supply constraints have now been...

A win for pro-independence parties at Scottish elections on May 6 will put Scotland’s exit from the UK back on the political agenda. But in our...

Washington has recovered 49% of its lost jobs from the pandemic as of Q1. This was below the US recovery rate of 52%. Washington is expected to...

Retail sales surged in March, even though many physical stores remained closed, while the reopening of non-essential stores and outdoor...

The US Recovery Tracker rose 1.3ppts to 90.2 in the week ended April 9, its first reading above 90 since March 2020 and its seventh consecutive...