This week’s talks between Russia, on one side, and on the other the US, NATO and the Organisation of Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), have...
Latin America | Key themes 2022: stagflation risk will test central banks
Posted by Marcos Casarin on Dec 13, 2021
Latin America’s economy enters the new year on weakened footing. Our 2022 themes revolve around the inherent struggle between supporting a slowing...
Australia | Three key issues for the inflation outlook
Posted by Sean Langcake on Dec 3, 2021
The Q2 CPI data prompted a sharp re-evaluation of the outlook for inflation and interest rates across financial markets. We have also revised our...
Australia | Credit conditions still favourable but on the move
Posted by Maree Kilroy on Dec 1, 2021
Recent months have seen the favourable lending environment for households begin to tighten. Inflation concerns have bond markets pricing in an...
US | Retailers’ wish these holidays? A working supply chain
Posted by Mahir Rasheed on Nov 5, 2021
Global | Carbon prices are too low, but how high should they be?
Posted by James Nixon on Nov 4, 2021
Carbon pricing – either through a tax or an emissions trading scheme – will play an integral role in efforts to reduce carbon emissions. By capturing...
China | Slowdown on weak demand rather than supply issues
Posted by Louis Kuijs on Nov 3, 2021
China's official manufacturing PMI fell 0.4 points to 49.2 in October, while the non-manufacturing PMI dropped to 52.4, from 53.2 in September. High...
Europe | Rebound in tourism aids the economic recovery
Posted by Tomas Dvorak on Oct 29, 2021
Europe’s tourism sector made solid strides towards recovery this summer. In July, overnight stays reached just above 70% of 2019 levels, on track to...
Russia | CBR views new lockdown as inflationary and hikes 75bp
Posted by Tatiana Orlova on Oct 28, 2021
The CBR today surprised the market and us with a 75bp hike, which brought the policy rate to 7.50%. The CBR language has remained hawkish, suggesting...
Eurozone | ECB Watch – A controversial debate on inflation looms
Posted by Oliver Rakau on Oct 26, 2021
We don’t expect any policy changes to emerge from the October ECB meeting as key policy decisions are closely tied to updated macroeconomic...