Lockdown measures likely caused the economy to contract by 1.5% in Q1, but we see growth recovering strongly throughout the rest of the year. Given

The US Recovery Tracker rose 0.8ppts to 89.1 in the week ended April 2, the sixth straight rise. Another week of broad-based gains across the...

The labour market recovery has outpaced expectations since the initial COVID19 shock. While the removal of JobKeeper is likely to stall the...

With the government confirming that non-essential retailers and outdoor hospitality will reopen in England on Monday, our forecast of a strong...

Our recovery tracker indicator has continued to improve through 2021 after a seasonal dip in January. The tracker has reached its pre-pandemic...

Q4’s national accounts revealed GDP falling not quite as far short of pre-Covid levels as previously believed. And a reversion of end-2020’s...

The unexpected resilience of house prices last year sets 2021 up to be another year of rising values. But unsupportive macro factors and the end...

According to our analysis, eurozone consumers are raring to get spending as soon as restrictions are eased. Our modelling, based on a range of...

Our latest UK sector forecasts show that we expect services will outpace industrial production this year, in contrast to the sector dynamics other...

The JobKeeper program has been highly successful in cushioning the COVID19 shock to the labour market. Its relatively swift and generous rollout...