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Surging energy prices have complicated the MPC's March policy decision. On balance, we still think the committee will raise Bank Rate to 0.75%, but a...
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) hiked its policy rate by 75bps at yesterday's meeting, bringing it to 3.5%. Although a continuation of monetary...
US supply chain stress tracker brought bad news in February. Inflation took up the baton from transportation and now represents the most stressed...
The week’s data showed further evidence of a decent bounce back in activity after the initial emergence of Omicron, and that inflationary pressures...
We expect the UK housing market to remain stuck in a state of high prices-low transactions. Though price growth should cool, a soft landing is more...
The main impact on the UK economy of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is likely to be energy prices staying higher for longer. The UK’s energy price cap...
Turkey will take a hit from the Russian invasion of Ukraine through three main channels – tourism, energy prices and financial market disruption –...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine means that the economic impact of the conflict on Europe will be larger than we previously assumed. Our new baseline sees
Due to events over the past 24 hours, with Russia now intent on installing a “friendly” government in Ukraine, we have moved our global baseline in...
We have raised our full year 2022 GDP growth forecast to 3.6% from 3.3% previously, due to the especially strong flash estimate for Q4 2021. The...
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