US consumer fundamentals remain strong despite some near-term headwinds, and we expect private consumption to be a key driver of growth over the...
Global Cities | Urbanisation continues, led by rapid growth in African cities
Posted by Anthony Bernard-Sasges on Jan 24, 2022
In the next two decades, the world’s 900 major cities will experience a combined population increase of nearly 600 million people. While the largest...
Global | Key Themes for Cities in 2022
Posted by Richard Holt on Jan 24, 2022
Against a helpful macroeconomic background, albeit with risks, city economies will continue to recover in 2022. GDP growth will mostly be slower than...
Africa | Watchlist 2022
Posted by Jacques Nel on Dec 17, 2021
Our Watchlist 2022 looks at developments that could potentially become the main African themes of next year. We look at the potential of a unilateral...
United States | 2022 Themes: A ‘MESSI’ year ahead
Posted by Gregory Daco on Dec 1, 2021
We anticipate 2022 will be a ‘MESSI’ (Moderating Expansion with Sticky Supply-driven Inflation) year for the US economy. After experiencing one of...
Africa | Country Economic Forecast Ethiopia
Posted by Irmgard Erasmus on Nov 19, 2021
Ethiopia has declared a state of emergency as the government confronts an amalgamation of forces from the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) and...
US | It ain’t stagflation, but it sure is “M.E.S.S.I.”
Posted by Gregory Daco on Oct 15, 2021
It’s not runaway inflation, and it’s certainly not stagflation. In fact, the US economy is going through a bout of “M.E.S.S.I.” inflation dynamics –...
Canada | Economy stumbles, but is still poised for robust recovery
Posted by Tony Stillo on Sep 15, 2021
We remain bullish on the outlook for the Canadian economy over the next two years despite a surprising contraction in Q2. However, increased Delta...
US | Past peak growth, but still robust heading into 2022
Posted by Gregory Daco on Sep 13, 2021
The US economy is past its peak, but that doesn’t mean the recovery is headed into reverse. While a deteriorated health situation and lingering...
Country Insight: Egypt - August 2021
Posted by Callee Davis on Aug 31, 2021
The Egyptian economy has proven resilient in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic, but more recent PMI figures suggest that the recovery has since...