Industrial performance across Europe has varied widely in the wake of the pandemic. The main laggards, Germany and France, have shaped the overall...
Eurozone | ECB Watch – inflation risks will dominate ECB meeting
Posted by Oliver Rakau on Jan 31, 2022
Inflation prospects will again dominate the upcoming ECB meeting. We do not expect any clear policy signals or decisions given that the council made...
Eurozone | EU fiscal rules: we expect reforms but no paradigm shift
Posted by Daniel Kral on Jan 25, 2022
We expect important changes to the EU’s fiscal governance framework, but no paradigm shift. Specifically, green and digital public investments will...
Europe | Real estate obsolescence risk lowest for the Nordics
Posted by Mark Unsworth on Jan 19, 2022
Our new index of European real estate obsolescence finds that the Nordic countries have the lowest risk of obsolescence and are best placed for the...
Eurozone weekly economic briefing | Gloomy outlook just before Christmas
Posted by Nicola Nobile on Dec 23, 2021
The spread of Omicron across Europe coupled with the holiday season will probably result in a surge in infections over the next few weeks. This will...
Eurozone weekly economic briefing | Omicron threat looms large for Europe’s outlook
Posted by Angel Talavera on Dec 17, 2021
The spread of Omicron across Europe will probably see a surge in infections over the coming weeks that could surpass all previous waves. Although...
Eurozone | Easing supply bottlenecks to bolster industrial rebound
Posted by Oliver Rakau on Dec 14, 2021
The easing of the severe supply-chain bottlenecks that brought the eurozone’s industrial recovery to a standstill in early 2021 will be gradual, with...
Eurozone | Another difficult winter ahead amid Omicron threat
Posted by Daniel Kral on Dec 10, 2021
We have revised down our near-term eurozone growth forecast, owing to deteriorating health conditions and the emergence of the Omicron variant. This...
Eurozone: Rising Covid cases may slow the recovery
Posted by Daniela Ordonez on Nov 29, 2021
With Covid infections rising rapidly again across Europe, the health situation is back under the spotlight. Governments across the region are...
Germany | New coalition aims to modernize with limited fiscal boost
Posted by Oliver Rakau on Nov 25, 2021
The SPD, FDP and Green party have struck a deal to form the next German government, which should be in power by early-December. A first reading of...