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The National Bank of Poland (NBP) hiked its policy rate by 75bps at yesterday's meeting, bringing it to 3.5%. Although a continuation of monetary...
We have modelled a plausible downside scenario in which the fighting in Ukraine lasts well into 2023, the west imposes further sanctions and Russia...
The main impact on the UK economy of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is likely to be energy prices staying higher for longer. The UK’s energy price cap...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine means that the economic impact of the conflict on Europe will be larger than we previously assumed. Our new baseline sees
Due to events over the past 24 hours, with Russia now intent on installing a “friendly” government in Ukraine, we have moved our global baseline in...
We have raised our full year 2022 GDP growth forecast to 3.6% from 3.3% previously, due to the especially strong flash estimate for Q4 2021. The...
The escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict will hit the eurozone economy mainly via higher energy prices giving another spur to inflation, which...
The Indonesian government has ambitions to move the country’s capital away from Jakarta to an as-yet unbuilt city over 1,000km away on the island of...
On Monday 21 February, separatist leaders of the so-called Donetsk andLuhansk People’s Republics (LNR and DNR) called on Russia’s PresidentVladimir...
GDP surprised to the upside in Q4 2021 with 1.1% q/q growth, according to the flash estimate. The positive carryover effect has raised our 2022 GDP...
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