We have lowered Sweden's growth for this year to 3.1% from 3.6% previously due to the fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The main channel...
MENA | Growth prospects remain robust as GCC embraces rate hikes
Posted by Maya Senussi on Mar 17, 2022
The GCC countries have entered a period of higher interest rates - their US$ currency pegs mean regional central banks mirror US Fed hikes. Our...
APAC Cities | Capital move not likely to threaten Jakarta’s economic importance
Posted by Scott McEwan on Feb 23, 2022
The Indonesian government has ambitions to move the country’s capital away from Jakarta to an as-yet unbuilt city over 1,000km away on the island of...
Eurozone weekly economic briefing | Strong January inflation brings swift ECB hawkish shift
Posted by Nicola Nobile on Feb 4, 2022
January inflation surprised on the upside, with the headline rate up to 5.1%, the highest since the 1990s. And while the energy component rose over...
Eurozone | ECB’s hawkish shift paves ground for a possible rate hike
Posted by Oliver Rakau on Feb 4, 2022
The February ECB meeting marked the beginning of a clear hawkish shift in the ECB’s policy outlook. Although the policy stance was left unchanged,...
Eurozone | ECB Watch – inflation risks will dominate ECB meeting
Posted by Oliver Rakau on Jan 31, 2022
Inflation prospects will again dominate the upcoming ECB meeting. We do not expect any clear policy signals or decisions given that the council made...
Asia Pacific Cities | We forecast further recovery in 2022, but clearly with some big risks
Posted by Richard Holt on Dec 21, 2021
We project that Asia Pacific’s 25 leading cities experience on average 4.5% GDP growth in 2022, and 4.1% over the five years 2022-26, although there...
United States | Recoveries in 2022 are inversely proportionate to 2020 declines
Posted by Barbara Byrne Denham on Dec 21, 2021
After decelerating in Q3, US GDP growth resumed a healthy pace in Q4, and is expected to hold steady in 2022, notwithstanding the potential short...
European Cities | Medium-term outlook remains stable amid rising infections
Posted by Dmitriy Gruzinov on Dec 21, 2021
In spite of global supply-side issues and another wave of Covid-19 infections at the end of 2021, we expect GDP in 22 of Europe’s 25 major cities to...
Global Cities | Will any cities challenge the traditional business capitals by 2040?
Posted by Lawrence Harper-Scott on Dec 20, 2021
Finance and business services is expected to drive growth in global economic activity and employment over the next 20 years. By 2040, there will be...