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The public sector wage bill is one of South Africa’s largest line items on the expenditure side, accounting for roughly one-third of total...
Our baseline forecast sees a strong rebound in eurozone economic activity as vaccinations bring the pandemic under control, but this shouldn’t imply...
The Canada Recovery Tracker (CRT) rose 1.4ppts to 87.4 in the week ended May 7 and is once again heading in the right direction. The health index has...
The Canadian economy will get a significant fiscal stimulus boost as it emerges from the coronavirus crisis. We see the direct effects of the...
Could fiscal stimulus lead to economic overheating? Our assessment suggests that while that’s a risk, it’s not a foregone conclusion, even with large...
A year ago, the US economy plunged into the deepest and fastest economic contraction since WWII. This year, improving health conditions, expanding...
The withdrawal of stimulus by the state and territory governments will be a little more gradual than the federal government; there will be a sharp...
The debate around the economy’s need for Biden’s $1.9tn American Rescue Plan (ARP) is heating up. A few prominent economists recently argued that...
The pre-election uncertainty surrounding a fiscal stimulus package could represent a watershed moment for the US economy as fiscal stimulus is...
Durable goods orders rose 0.4% in August, yet the 4th successive monthly gain was much slower than the 11.7% July advance. Core orders and shipments...
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