Canada will likely usher in another minority government when voters hit the polls on Sept 20, led by either the incumbent Liberals or the...

Recent political shifts have increased the odds of Germany loosening its tight national fiscal rules after the September elections, which could be...

The race to succeed long-term Chancellor Merkel and lead Europe’s largest economy is wide open. But we think Germany will continue its reactive,...

Our baseline forecast sees a strong rebound in eurozone economic activity as vaccinations bring the pandemic under control, but this shouldn’t...

Vaccine programs across the world are well underway and should enable  a sustained and meaningful easing of restrictions in mid-2021. But as we...

The Recovery and Resilience Plans (RRPs) that EU member states have so far submitted to the European Commission to unlock funds from Next...

Could fiscal stimulus lead to economic overheating? Our assessment suggests that while that’s a risk, it’s not a foregone conclusion, even with...

We expect eurozone business investment to stage a vigorous recovery this year, boosted by a rebound in sales as the economy reopens. Booming...

The current Conte government looks very likely to end soon, as previous PM Renzi will withdraw his support over the next few hours. At this stage,...