President Cyril Ramaphosa’s State of the Nation Address (Sona) again contained some positive signs of a change in policy direction. The provision of...
Portugal | Costa’s election win offers hope for political stability
Posted by Ricardo Amaro on Feb 1, 2022
Yesterday’s unexpected majority win for the Socialist Party paves the way for greater political stability in Portugal. This will simplify the...
Japan | Why the supplementary budget flatters to deceive
Posted by Norihiro Yamaguchi on Jan 26, 2022
Japan’s parliament has approved the latest supplementary budget, which includes the second-largest expenditure package in its history. But while the...
Eurozone | EU fiscal rules: we expect reforms but no paradigm shift
Posted by Daniel Kral on Jan 25, 2022
We expect important changes to the EU’s fiscal governance framework, but no paradigm shift. Specifically, green and digital public investments will...
Europe | Key Themes 2022: CEE is in for an eventful year
Posted by Tomas Dvorak on Jan 20, 2022
After emerging as an outperformer in early 2021, the Central and Eastern European region is set to face an eventful year in 2022. This year should...
US | How will Biden's infrastructure push affect US industries?
Posted by Oren Klachkin on Dec 16, 2021
The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) will deliver a 2% boost to US construction activity over the next two years, about five times...
Global | Key themes 2022: Strong recovery amid shifting risks
Posted by Ben May on Dec 7, 2021
Diminishing economic disruption and uncertainty, stemming from the pandemic and ensuing supply-side bottlenecks, bode well for a still-strong...
China | Key themes 2022: Easier policy amid weaker growth
Posted by Louis Kuijs on Dec 2, 2021
We see China’s economy entering 2022 with weaker growth. Our forecast has GDP growth dipping to 3.6% y/y in Q4 2021. And we expect 5.4% GDP growth in...
Eurozone 2022 themes: Now for the hard part
Posted by Angel Talavera on Nov 30, 2021
The eurozone pushed on with a strong recovery in 2021, but in many ways that’s been the easy part. With reopening tailwinds mostly exhausted, the...
[Video] Can the recovery survive without policy?
Posted by Sarah Cameron on Nov 13, 2021