Concerns have risen about financial market risks, centring around elevated asset valuations and high corporate debt. A lack of corporate distress and...
Latin America | Institutional erosion a hidden risk in event of QE tapering
Posted by Marcos Casarin on Aug 27, 2021
While we don’t expect the looming announcement of QE tapering by the US Fed to trigger a sharp rise in US yields a la 2013’s ‘taper tantrum’, it is...
Japan | Growing debt overhang adds to zombie threat
Posted by Shigeto Nagai on Aug 16, 2021
Business failures in Japan have been stemmed thanks to massive government and bank liquidity support. However, there’s mounting concern regarding...
Europe | Cities are recovering, but uncertainties remain
Posted by Anthony Light on Jul 16, 2021
European cities are on the road to recovery, as the improving health situation and gradual lifting of restrictions provide the foundation for a...
Global | Booming house prices add to inflation concerns
Posted by Adam Slater on Jun 21, 2021
Rapid house price rises are feeding into a broader asset price boom that’s the strongest in decades and also unusually synchronised across assets....
Global | Assessing the risk of an inflation regime change
Posted by Adam Slater on Jun 2, 2021
Inflation in advanced economies is set to rise this year to the highest rate in a decade. This has sparked fears of a shift to a high inflation...
Global | "Earn it!" What price fiscal reputation in emerging markets?
Posted by Gabriel Sterne on May 26, 2021
Emerging Markets’ reputations for delivering on fiscal commitments has never been so important as it is now, given the need for medium-term...
US | US Dollar to regain some luster in 2021
Posted by Gregory Daco on Apr 13, 2021
While many commentators have been calling for a US dollar collapse, we believe the greenback will have a lot of staying power in 2021. In the wake of...
Africa | Complacency over Cabo Delgado costing State dearly
Posted by Gerrit van Rooyen on Apr 9, 2021
After attacks on Palma in northern Mozambique in which dozens of civilians, including a South African and a Briton, lost their lives, Total pulled...
US | Recovery Tracker marches steadily higher
Posted by Gregory Daco on Apr 9, 2021
The US Recovery Tracker rose 1.3ppts to 88.1 in the week ended March 26 on gains across most of the tracker’s six categories. The recovery maintained...