Russia’s invasion of Ukraine means that the economic impact of the conflict on Europe will be larger than we previously assumed. Our new baseline sees

Due to events over the past 24 hours, with Russia now intent on installing a “friendly” government in Ukraine, we have moved our global baseline in...

The escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict will hit the eurozone economy mainly via higher energy prices giving another spur to inflation, which...

On Monday 21 February, separatist leaders of the so-called Donetsk andLuhansk People’s Republics (LNR and DNR) called on Russia’s PresidentVladimir...

The crisis between Russia and Ukraine continues to dominate the headlines. Although we expect the direct economic impact for the eurozone to be...

The impact of a “limited” incursion by Russia into Ukraine would deal an unwelcome blow to the European economy via higher inflation squeezing real...

The ECB's unexpectedly hawkish shift tone prompted a sizeable market reaction, with Italian 10-year bond yields rising 55bps, to 1.95%. However, we...

In a week with few economic data releases, the latest ECB communicationsturned the week tumultuous. It appears that worries about inflation have...

Persistently high energy prices will cause eurozone inflation to be higher forlonger than we previously anticipated. Our new forecast envisions...

January inflation surprised on the upside, with the headline rate up to 5.1%, the highest since the 1990s. And while the energy component rose over...