Russia’s invasion of Ukraine means that the economic impact of the conflict on Europe will be larger than we previously assumed. Our new baseline sees

Due to events over the past 24 hours, with Russia now intent on installing a “friendly” government in Ukraine, we have moved our global baseline in...

We have raised our full year 2022 GDP growth forecast to 3.6% from 3.3% previously, due to the especially strong flash estimate for Q4 2021. The...

The escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict will hit the eurozone economy mainly via higher energy prices giving another spur to inflation, which...

On Monday 21 February, separatist leaders of the so-called Donetsk andLuhansk People’s Republics (LNR and DNR) called on Russia’s PresidentVladimir...

GDP surprised to the upside in Q4 2021 with 1.1% q/q growth, according to the flash estimate. The positive carryover effect has raised our 2022 GDP...

High inflation in the UK and concerns about the effect of a tight jobs market on wages will likely push the MPC to raise rates to 1.25% by the end of...

The crisis between Russia and Ukraine continues to dominate the headlines. Although we expect the direct economic impact for the eurozone to be...

Our forecast for Finland’s GDP growth is 2.3% this year and 1.5% in 2023, both unchanged from last month. The economy grew 0.7% q/q in Q4 2021,...

The impact of a “limited” incursion by Russia into Ukraine would deal an unwelcome blow to the European economy via higher inflation squeezing real...