We now expect the long-run nominal neutral policy rate – i.e., the rate at which the economy is in equilibrium and monetary policy fully...

President-elect Pedro Castillo will struggle to pass legislation in Peru’s fragmented Congress, meaning the proposals that markets most worry...

Following record declines in 2020, we forecast strong 6.1% pa APAC GDP growth over the next two years. Nonetheless, the permanent loss in output...

Progress in passing the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) and official adoption of the Nafex rate are two significant policy steps in the rights...

Midwestern and Southern state labor market recoveries are still outpacing the rest of the country. Labor demand has strengthened most strongly in...

A string of new Covid-19 outbreaks is weighing on the APAC region’s economic recovery. Among Asia’s developed economies, the case load is low...

Enhanced US unemployment benefits are discouraging only a small share of unemployed workers from finding jobs. The disincentive to work is...

Our Latin America Recovery Tracker (LART) fell slightly (-0.7pts) during the week ending June 18, following two consecutive weekly gains. Setbacks...

The Colombian economy is finally showing hints of an inflation build-up, with monthly CPI rising above its seasonal average in both April and May....

Our US Recovery Tracker started June with a bang, rising a strong 1.2ppts to 96.1 in the week ended June 11 following a 0.6ppts gain in the week...