The impact of a “limited” incursion by Russia into Ukraine would deal an unwelcome blow to the European economy via higher inflation squeezing real...
Italy | Rising sovereign yields will not derail debt dynamics
Posted by Nicola Nobile on Feb 15, 2022
The ECB's unexpectedly hawkish shift tone prompted a sizeable market reaction, with Italian 10-year bond yields rising 55bps, to 1.95%. However, we...
United Kingdom | Fiscal space increases odds of some cost of living relief
Posted by Andrew Goodwin on Jan 31, 2022
The lifting of Covid restrictions on January 27 adds to hopes that the worst of the pandemic is in the past and should boost consumer sentiment. But...
Eurozone | EU fiscal rules: we expect reforms but no paradigm shift
Posted by Daniel Kral on Jan 25, 2022
We expect important changes to the EU’s fiscal governance framework, but no paradigm shift. Specifically, green and digital public investments will...