The impact of a “limited” incursion by Russia into Ukraine would deal an unwelcome blow to the European economy via higher inflation squeezing real...

The ECB's unexpectedly hawkish shift tone prompted a sizeable market reaction, with Italian 10-year bond yields rising 55bps, to 1.95%. However, we...

The lifting of Covid restrictions on January 27 adds to hopes that the worst of the pandemic is in the past and should boost consumer sentiment. But...

We expect important changes to the EU’s fiscal governance framework, but no paradigm shift. Specifically, green and digital public investments will...