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We have lowered Sweden's growth for this year to 3.1% from 3.6% previously due to the fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The main channel...
We have raised our full year 2022 GDP growth forecast to 3.6% from 3.3% previously, due to the especially strong flash estimate for Q4 2021. The...
The crisis between Russia and Ukraine continues to dominate the headlines. Although we expect the direct economic impact for the eurozone to be...
After a decade of consistently strong growth, UK labour supply has slumped since the onset of the pandemic and we expect only a partial recovery this...
In 2021, there were 16 Urban Economic Powerhouses in the world (cities with GDP greater than $500bn), but none were located in the Middle East. By...
The lifting of Covid restrictions on January 27 adds to hopes that the worst of the pandemic is in the past and should boost consumer sentiment. But...
We have lowered our mainland 2022 GDP growth forecast by 0.1ppt to 4.2% to reflect the economic impact of the Omicron outbreak at the start of the...
Though the scale of December’s fall in retail sales came as a nasty surprise, it was not simply an Omicron story. We still think the Omicron hit to...
We have kept our growth forecast for this year unchanged at 3.2%, as we expect the impact of the Omicron wave to be mild. The latest data on...
A strong outturn for November took the output measure of GDP above its pre-pandemic peak. Given GDP is likely to have fallen in December, the...
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