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The Bank of Canada removed its forward guidance in January and clearly signalled an imminent tightening of monetary policy. Assuming a swift end to...
Our updated Housing Affordability Indices (HAIs) show affordability declined in Q3 2021 at the national level in the US and Canada as income gains...
The recovery of Canadian metros is continuing in terms of both GDP and employment. We forecast that GDP in Edmonton and Calgary will grow by more...
Canada entered the pandemic with historically elevated household debt, and a C$193bn surge in mortgage borrowing during the pandemic has raised...
Canadian metros are rebounding strongly in 2021. We expect every metro to surpass their pre-pandemic GDP levels by the end of this year. We estimate...
The Housing Affordability Indices (HAIs) show affordability deteriorated in nearly all US and Canadian metros in Q2 2021 as home price inflation...
A sustained pandemic with scarring effects would reduce Canada’s economic growth by close to 0.3ppts per annum between 2021 and 2026. Less...
Canada will likely usher in another minority government when voters hit the polls on Sept 20, led by either the incumbent Liberals or the...
We remain bullish on the outlook for the Canadian economy over the next two years despite a surprising contraction in Q2. However, increased Delta...
There’s a close race as the Bank of Canada weighs sticking with its successful flexible inflation targeting (FIT) or switching to average inflation...
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