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The Levelling Up White Paper contains nothing to cause us to revise our forecasts for the UK’s various nations and regions, let alone the UK as a...
We now expect the scarring effect from the pandemic on the supply-side of the UK’s economy to be much more limited – a 1% permanent cut to GDP...
Our latest UK sector forecasts show that we expect services will outpace industrial production this year, in contrast to the sector dynamics other...
The combined impact of Brexit and the coronavirus pandemic means we now expect UK growth to average just 1.2% a year in the 2020s. The damage from...
Our central view is that London’s dominance of Europe’s financial services sector is not hugely threatened by the failure to include the sector in...
Our baseline forecast assumes that the UK and the EU will strike a limited free-trade agreement that will keep bilateral trade tariff- and...
Negotiations on a UK-EU free-trade agreement have continued to make frustratingly slow progress and this week has seen both sides ratchet up the...
The next five weeks will be crucial in determining whether the UK and EU can achieve a free-trade agreement. We still estimate the chance of a deal...
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