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Inventories – normally a strong predictor of the business cycle – are uncharacteristically low, even though global growth is at record highs. This is...
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Emerging market financial conditions remain very favourable in early 2021 even as inflation fears have grown and government bonds yields have crept...
Inflation is picking up across advanced economies (AEs) and emerging markets (EMs), but the data suggests this will again prove temporary. We see no...
Machine learning-led GDP nowcasting points to a recovery in Q3, albeit with slowing momentum through the quarter. China might reach pre-crisis levels...
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