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The GCC countries have entered a period of higher interest rates - their US$ currency pegs mean regional central banks mirror US Fed hikes. Our...
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Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the evolving global response will be felt in the MENA economies mainly via the impact on commodity prices. Fuel...
Turkey will take a hit from the Russian invasion of Ukraine through three main channels – tourism, energy prices and financial market disruption –...
Turkey’s unpredictable macro policies could leave the treasury with a sizeable bill stemming from FX-protected lira deposits. The baseline for public...
The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) will be one of only two major regions globally (the other being ASEAN) to grow faster – at above 5% – in 2022...
The IMF’s updated GDP growth projection for MENA is largely in line with our baseline, although we are more optimistic than the Fund on the GCC. The...
The GCC recovery built momentum in Q3, thanks to vaccine progress, easing of health restrictions, and higher oil output. However, the bloc’s GDP will...
After over a year of political impasse, Lebanon has finally formed a government, led by a twice-former prime minister Najib Mikati. The breakthrough...
Oil prices have stabilised around $75pb following the OPEC+ deal earlier thismonth to taper production cuts starting in August. The improved outlook...
OPEC+ countries could agree an oil output increase of 2m b/d between August and December against the backdrop of rising oil prices. But while demand...
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