Gregory Daco

Recent Posts

The US Recovery Tracker carried the stalled progress we saw in the month of July into August, falling 0.3ppts to 96.4 in the week ended August 6....

The US Recovery Tracker plateaued in July after a five-month winning streak. While consumers and businesses continue to spend, peak growth is behind...

The US Recovery Tracker added to its nearly five-month streak of weekly gains in the week ended July 9, rising 0.6ppts to 97.6. Consumers continued...

Our US Recovery Tracker started June with a bang, rising a strong 1.2ppts to 96.1 in the week ended June 11 following a 0.6ppts gain in the week...

The US economy is unlikely to experience an inflation regime shift. But after a decade of glacial price rises in the wake of the financial crisis, it...

Our US Recovery Tracker finished May on a high note, rising 1.5ppts to 94.6 in the week ended May 28. A Memorial Day boost to demand, looser...

The US Recovery Tracker posted its strongest gain in seven weeks, rising 1.2ppts to 93.3 in the week ended May 21. Five of the tracker’s six...

Over the past year, we have consistently predicted higher inflation stemming from base effects, stronger activity in the wake of the economic...

The US Recovery Tracker rose 0.4ppts to 92.1 in the week ended May 14, pointing to solid momentum ahead of the summer liftoff. Four of the tracker’s...

The US Recovery Tracker fell 0.5ppts to 91.1 in the week ending May 7, the second decline in three weeks. With four of the six subcomponents...