We have lowered Sweden's growth for this year to 3.1% from 3.6% previously due to the fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The main channel...
Daniel Kral
Recent Posts
Eurozone | EU faces tough trade-offs to phase out Russian gas
Posted by Daniel Kral on Mar 11, 2022
Following Russia's attack on Ukraine, the EU Commission has accelerated plans to phaseout Russian gas, with a two-thirds cut this year. To offset the...
Eurozone | A change of fortune across EU industries looms
Posted by Daniel Kral on Mar 1, 2022
Industrial performance across Europe has varied widely in the wake of the pandemic. The main laggards, Germany and France, have shaped the overall...
Sweden | 2022 GDP growth forecast raised, but high inflation is a key downside risk
Posted by Daniel Kral on Feb 24, 2022
We have raised our full year 2022 GDP growth forecast to 3.6% from 3.3% previously, due to the especially strong flash estimate for Q4 2021. The...
Finland | 2022 GDP growth forecast unchanged at 2.3% as activity remains solid
Posted by Daniel Kral on Feb 17, 2022
Our forecast for Finland’s GDP growth is 2.3% this year and 1.5% in 2023, both unchanged from last month. The economy grew 0.7% q/q in Q4 2021,...
Eurozone | EU fiscal rules: we expect reforms but no paradigm shift
Posted by Daniel Kral on Jan 25, 2022
We expect important changes to the EU’s fiscal governance framework, but no paradigm shift. Specifically, green and digital public investments will...
Sweden | 2022 GDP growth forecast remains as expected despite Omicron
Posted by Daniel Kral on Jan 18, 2022
We have kept our growth forecast for this year unchanged at 3.2%, as we expect the impact of the Omicron wave to be mild. The latest data on...
Finland | Omicron wave is expected to have a mild impact on the economy
Posted by Daniel Kral on Jan 15, 2022
Our forecast for Finland’s GDP growth is 2.3% this year and 1.5% in 2023, both unchanged from last month. Despite a recent surge in Covid cases...
Sweden | GDP growth forecast nudged down to 3.2% due to weaker near-term activity
Posted by Daniel Kral on Dec 17, 2021
Growth in Q3 and previous quarters was revised up, pushing up our 2021 forecast to 4.7% from 4.3%. But we have lowered our near-term forecast due to...
Our forecast for Finland’s GDP growth is 3.5% this year before a slowdown to 2.3% in 2022, both unchanged from last month. Growth in Q3 was revised...