Diminishing economic disruption and uncertainty, stemming from the pandemic and ensuing supply-side bottlenecks, bode well for a still-strong...
Ben May
Recent Posts
Global | Consumers hold the key to global fortunes in 2022
Posted by Ben May on Sep 9, 2021
In 2022, we expect the strength of global economic growth to be driven by demand-side developments, in stark contrast to the past two years when...
Have bond yields risen too high too soon?
Posted by Ben May on Mar 10, 2021
A rise in government bond yields – still only just returning to around pre pandemic lows – is not by itself a cause for concern. Rather, it’s the...
Coronavirus Watch: Industrial strength has legs
Posted by Ben May on Mar 5, 2021
Among the key themes for 2021 we identified late last year was that the industrial sector would remain a source of strength. Since then,...
Global | New virus variants, new economic risks
Posted by Ben May on Jan 8, 2021
News on vaccine progress has offered some light at the end of the Covid tunnel, but the discovery that more transmissible variants have spread...
Global Economy Key Themes 2021: New lease of life for the world economy
Posted by Ben May on Dec 9, 2020
Buoyed by Covid-19 vaccines, we think the pace of global GDP growth in 2021 will be the fastest in over 40 years. But for many it won’t feel much...
Coronavirus Watch: Industry’s strength to endure
Posted by Ben May on Dec 7, 2020
November’s global composite PMI data suggest that any fears that renewed lockdowns and activity restrictions due to the recent surge in Covid-19...
A vaccine is a major step, but policy response is also key | Global
Posted by Ben May on Nov 12, 2020
Some economists have been quick to upgrade their GDP forecasts for next year in response to the news that the Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine...
Coronavirus Watch: Growers, slowers, & going lowers | Global
Posted by Ben May on Nov 9, 2020
Although the US election results have not triggered a significant change to our assessment of the US or global economic outlook for 2021, double dips...
Coronavirus Watch: All consumers not equal | Global
Posted by Ben May on Oct 26, 2020
Economies that implemented lockdowns earlier in the year sufferedsubstantial plunges in consumer spending across the board. But forhousehold incomes,...