Forward Thinking

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Trump vs Clinton: Polarization and Uncertainty

Posted by Oxford Economics on Jul 20, 2017 12:14:21 PM

The economic impact of the US elections

With the US presidential elections less than two months away, our economists have taken a close look the economic policy put forward by the Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump campaigns and their macroeconomic impact over the coming years.

In this research briefing we describe how four key factors explain diverging economic trajectories under a Trump and Clinton presidency:

  • Fiscal
  • Trade
  • Immigration policy
  • Confidence/uncertainty.

The analysis was created using our internationally renowned Global Economic Model, which provides a rigorous and consistent structure for forecasting and scenario analysis. 

As an independent economic advisory firm, Oxford Economics has no political affiliation.

Download a  free summary report.  


If you are a Global Marco Service subscriber, click here to access the report.

Comparison of Trump and Clinton Economic Plans



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