Forward Thinking

Latest news and innovations from Oxford Economics

Combatting illicit trade – consumer motivations and stakeholder perspectives

Posted by Thought Leadership on Jul 3, 2018 9:34:12 AM

Illicit trade is a persistent and growing threat, as technology, the global economy and e-commerce open new opportunities for counterfeit products to infiltrate supply chains and provide consumers with illicit products. Many understand the risks—that illicit trade can cause serious public health issues, and that the proceeds from illicit sales fund other criminal activities. Others view some form of illicit trade as the soft underbelly of the global economy— the price to be paid for frictionless trade.

A new study from Oxford Economics seeks to understand this evolving issue better—specifically, the attitudes and behaviours of those that influence the demand and the supply for illicit goods, so that illicit trade can be contained. We surveyed more than 37,000 consumers, across 37 European countries, buying five products; cigarettes and tobacco, alcoholic drinks, films, music and games, clothing and accessories and medicines.

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Topics: Illicit Trade, Global trade, Trade, Public policy and regulations, Global economy, Thought leadership

Global growth may be peaking – but a slowdown doesn’t spell a slump

Posted by Oxford Economics on Apr 23, 2018 4:00:00 AM

Is the world economy’s current, long-running upturn running out of steam? Jittery financial markets that have struggled to regain a firm footing since February’s sell-off, anxieties over the US-China trade tariffs confrontation, and now a spate of weaker data for some major economies have all sparked concern over whether the global economy’s expansion may be stuttering or at risk.

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Topics: Global growth, Global economics, Global Economic Model, Manufacturing, Global trade, Trade, Leading indicators

Business optimism over global outlook strongest for two years – OE survey

Posted by Oxford Economics on Feb 7, 2018 8:15:07 PM

Companies’ spirits boosted by buoyant world trade and US fiscal stimulus measures as fears over North Korea tensions and China slowdown retreat

Businesses are increasingly positive about prospects for the world economy, with optimism over the global outlook at its strongest for two years, according to Oxford Economics’ latest survey of global risk perceptions among clients and business contacts, including some of the world’s largest companies.

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Topics: Global economics, Global surveys, Business and economic outlook, Global trade, US tax cuts, Fiscal stimulus, North Korea, Protectionism, Trump, China, China slowdown

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