Rising global Covid infections remain a key focus, but the recent surge is not automatically grounds for us to slash our near-term forecasts. Indeed,...
Eurozone | What’s next for the EU’s fiscal framework
Posted by Nicola Nobile on Apr 26, 2021 12:13:08 PM
Since the start of the pandemic, eurozone countries have been able to relax fiscal policy without worrying about the eurozone’s fiscal rules. But...
Global | Rebounding global trade has lots of beneficiaries
Posted by Tamara Basic Vasiljev on Apr 26, 2021 11:57:05 AM
Global trade is recovering so strongly that infrastructure seems unable to support it. As shipping costs reach new highs, reports of delays still...
Global | Coronavirus Watch: A troubling V-shaped recovery
Posted by Ben May on Apr 20, 2021 10:07:57 AM
In an unwelcome development, global Covid case numbers are rising sharply again. Although this adds downside risk to our economic outlook, we aren’t...
Global | Coronavirus Watch: When is the vaccine tipping point?
Posted by Ben May on Apr 7, 2021 10:02:13 AM
Despite increasing numbers of new coronavirus cases globally, the possibility that more economies will enjoy both limited domestic restrictions and...
Latin America | How varying vaccine success will affect recoveries
Posted by Felipe Camargo on Apr 6, 2021 10:27:29 AM
Achieving collective immunity is a pre-condition for Latin American authorities to lift mobility restrictions permanently. We forecast that LatAm...
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Grounds for cautious optimism
Posted by Ben May on Mar 30, 2021 10:47:26 AM
A run of encouraging business surveys and the apparent successful reopening of the Israeli economy suggest that upside risks to our already...