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The sense of optimism at the prospect of widespread vaccinations in 2021 has been deflated by the discovery of more transmissible forms of...
We expect the introduction of a third lockdown to cause GDP to fall more than 4% q/q in Q1.
According to the latest high-frequency data the economic respite offered by the lifting of the England wide lockdown in November has proved...
The prospect of large shares of some economies’ populations being vaccinated in the first half of 2021, supporting a return to some degree of...
Over the past month, we have revised up our global GDP growth forecast for 2021 to 5.2% from 4.9%. We also see a more favourable balance of risks...
The positive developments on Covid-19 vaccines are broadly in line with our baseline forecast for emerging markets – we expect a noticeable impact...
The latest PMI data suggest that the activity hit from lockdowns and tighter restrictions in November won’t be sufficient to prompt another...
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