Coronavirus Watch: Partial and patchy recovery

Posted by Adam Slater on Oct 27, 2020 9:27:40 AM

The global recovery from the coronavirus recession remains intact but is patchy across economies and may be faltering in some as the lifting of...

A partial and uneven world trade rebound

Posted by Adam Slater on Oct 26, 2020 10:36:55 AM

Various indicators suggest world trade is recovering but the rebound is partial and uneven across regions, sectors, and other dimensions. Our...

Coronavirus Watch: IMF forecasts too downbeat

Posted by Ben May on Oct 20, 2020 9:46:43 AM

The latest IMF global economic forecasts point to a more muted recovery than our own forecasts imply. The fund’s more pessimistic assessment...

The global economy's long-term prospects post-pandemic depend crucially on its performance over the coming year, based on our review of...

Coronavirus Watch: Down, again

Posted by Ben May on Oct 13, 2020 11:50:22 AM

We have revised down our global GDP growth forecast for 2021 further to 5.2% from 5.4%. The new forecast is over 1ppt lower than we anticipated in...

Our medium-term forecasts are for global GDP to fall short of pre-crisis trend growth by around 4% by Q4 2024 and with risks skewed to the...

Coronavirus Watch: All consumers not equal

Posted by Ben May on Oct 6, 2020 9:57:59 AM

Economies that implemented lockdowns earlier in the year suffered substantial plunges in consumer spending across the board. But for household...