The economy and voter turnout points to a Biden win

As we look ahead to the first presidential debate, our economic election models continue to see President Donald Trump losing his reelection bid.

A recessionary unemployment rate and depressed incomes following the expiry of government aid programs will push the pocketbook votes toward Joe Biden, while social unrest will likely boost voter turnout, giving an edge to Democrats.

Download our analysis to find out:

  • How the economy and voter turnout favour a Biden win
  • The predicted margin between between Trump and Biden
  • The economic forecast from our national election and our state-based electoral college model

Topics: US election, presidential election, US economy

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