Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine was not priced in by markets and has led to spiralling commodity prices, higher risk premia, and strong...
APAC | Asia exports look to improve in 2022
Posted by Lloyd Chan on Dec 9, 2021
The level of Asian exports in volume terms has been stagnant in H2 2021. In addition, across the major manufacturing exporting economies, there have...
APAC | Regional monetary policies to continue to diverge in 2022
Posted by Sian Fenner on Dec 8, 2021
We expect monetary policy to continue to diverge across Asia Pacific (APAC) in 2022, with central banks in the advanced APAC economies (apart from...
India | A balanced path to a greener future
Posted by Priyanka Kishore on Dec 8, 2021
India’s pledge to achieve net zero by 2070 is admirable. But the path announced by Prime Minister Modi at COP26 toward achieving that goal is - to...
APAC | Asia supply-chain disruptions easing but challenges remain
Posted by Sian Fenner on Dec 1, 2021
Following an easing in restrictions, Asia production is ramping up to meet strong global demand for consumer goods, auto parts, and electronics....
Philippines | Transitory inflation makes 2022 rate hikes unlikely
Posted by Makoto Tsuchiya on Nov 18, 2021
We concur with the central bank’s (BSP) view that the current rise in inflation in the Philippines is for the most part transitory, reflecting...
APAC | ASEAN growth tracker shows growth bottoming out
Posted by Sung Eun Jung on Nov 18, 2021
Real GDP for ASEAN-6 economies1 grew 1.7% y/y in Q3, down from 9.3% in Q2, reflecting both a less favourable base effect and a drop in growth...
APAC | Tallying up how quickly APAC is likely to reopen
Posted by Sian Fenner on Nov 16, 2021
Most APAC economies are shifting towards living with Covid, but the easing of restrictions can be expected to vary across the region. We have...
Malaysia | Fiscal stimulus primed to support the recovery
Posted by Sian Fenner on Nov 3, 2021
The government has announced a record spending plan in the 2022 Budget to spur the post pandemic recovery. Measures include an increase in cash aid...
Singapore | Weaker demographics will slow long-term growth
Posted by Sung Eun Jung on Nov 1, 2021
We forecast a permanent hit to Singapore’s population after two consecutive years of contraction in which border closures restricted regular inflows...