After enduring one of the deepest downturns in 2020, the UK has enjoyed one of the strongest rebounds in 2021. The ‘easy’ gains from reopening are...

The eurozone pushed on with a strong recovery in 2021, but in many ways that’s been the easy part. With reopening tailwinds mostly exhausted, the...

Our 2021 mainland GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.9% after the 2.6% Q3 expansion was broadly in line with our estimate, and we continue...

Although reported labour shortages in the eurozone appear to be worsening, our analysis of the underlying dynamics shows a more nuancedicture. We...

As Covid cases continue to rise in Europe, some governments have started to introduce new restrictions, while others have been discussing...

Ethiopia has declared a state of emergency as the government confronts an amalgamation of forces from the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)...

We see little evidence that the outlook for underlying inflation in the eurozone is much changed from a few months ago. In fact, there’s a high...

According to the advance estimate, Q3 GDP exceeded expectations with a 2% expansion. While this figure is subject to revision, Denmark is on...

We concur with the central bank’s (BSP) view that the current rise in inflation in the Philippines is for the most part transitory, reflecting...

Finland’s GDP rose 0.9% in Q3 based on the flash estimate, in line with our forecast. High-frequency indicators show that the economy remains...