As we feared, the second coronavirus wave is playing havoc with India’s health system and more states have adopted stricter measures to contain the...
India | Worsening health conditions crystalise downside risks
Posted by Priyanka Kishore on Apr 26, 2021
The rapidly swelling second wave has taken a big toll on the country’s health infrastructure. The health system has collapsed in the worst hit...
India | More resilient, but not immune to the second wave
Posted by Priyanka Kishore on Apr 9, 2021
The coronavirus resurgence in India is raising concerns that the recovery could be derailed. With state governments reluctant to reintroduce strict...
APAC | Cities Outlook: Expect a broad return to growth
Posted by Scott McEwan on Mar 31, 2021
After an extraordinary downturn across Asian city economies in 2020 we expect a broad return to growth in 2021. But while many cities that contracted...
APAC | The varying impacts from higher US bond yields
Posted by Louis Kuijs on Mar 24, 2021
As financial markets started pricing in stronger US economic growth and inflation because of Joe Biden’s stimulus plan, US bond yields have risen....
India | Fiscal normalisation to keep RBI on the hook
Posted by Priyanka Kishore on Feb 18, 2021
Expectations of a supportive macro policy environment have underpinned our positive 2021 outlook for India for some time. Despite the impressive...
Asia Pacific | Stronger macro boost to rupee than rupiah and peso
Posted by Sung Eun Jung on Feb 17, 2021
The IDR and INR were the only Asian currencies that depreciated against the USD in 2020. Last year we highlighted the twin deficit risks that were...
India | Biting the fiscal bullet
Posted by Priyanka Kishore on Feb 2, 2021
Markets have cheered today’s budget, which was perceived to be growth-oriented with an emphasis on infrastructure spending. The revised estimates for...