The services sector partially snapped back in Q3, but the enduring health crisis will make the road to recovery long and uneven. Even after...

The US Recovery Tracker fell 0.6ppts in late October, a third successive drop to the lowest level in 10 weeks. A dangerous cocktail of surging...

Although the US election results have not triggered a significant change to our assessment of the US or global economic outlook for 2021, double...

Durable goods orders rose 0.4% in August, yet the 4th successive monthly gain was much slower than the 11.7% July advance. Core orders and...

The US Recovery Tracker slowed to a crawl in the week ended Sept. 11. Despite relatively encouraging news on the health front, the deterioration...

Joe Biden’s fiscal policy proposals would provide the US economy with a booster shot as it recovers from the Global Coronavirus Recession.

While...

Throughout the pandemic, we have judged that the risks to our baseline forecast lie to the downside. Businesses have shared this view, according...

The third consecutive monthly decline of the Philly Fed manufacturing index in September signals regional activity is gradually falling in line...

This was echoed by the Philly Fed manufacturing index, which fell 6.9 points to 17.2 in August. While manufacturers remain upbeat about the...

Our US Recovery Tracker rose 1.3ppts to 78.0 in the week ended August 7, the largest gain since mid-June. Supporting the weekly rise were the...