The coronavirus is set to have a very large short-term negative impact on world growth. But the medium-term growth outlook is more uncertain. Much...

Machine learning-led GDP nowcasting points to a recovery in Q3, albeit with slowing momentum through the quarter. China might reach pre-crisis...

The latest data show that retail spending growth in the US and UK isslowing but remains a relative bright spot for both economies in contrast to...

Throughout the pandemic, we have judged that the risks to our baseline forecast lie to the downside. Businesses have shared this view, according...

Which is the bigger risk in the wake of the coronavirus crisis: inflation or deflation? While some observers have recently argued that high...