The fiscal and monetary response to the pandemic will leave a lasting mark on the net trade position of the US. The trade deficit is at record...

We now expect the long-run nominal neutral policy rate – i.e., the rate at which the economy is in equilibrium and monetary policy fully...

Following record declines in 2020, we forecast strong 6.1% pa APAC GDP growth over the next two years. Nonetheless, the permanent loss in output...

Large price increases for commodities and China’s heavy industry output continue to worry businesses, markets, and policymakers. If these price...

After being lauded for their successful containment of Covid-19 in 2020, the ASEAN-6 economies have experienced a surge in cases since the start...

World trade is staging an impressive recovery and so are ASEAN’s exports. We forecast exports will make a positive contribution to headline growth...

Vietnam’s transformation into a global manufacturing hub over the past decade helped it outperform most economies in 2020 and further strengthened...

Weak imports, rather than strong exports, boosted Singapore’s growth last year. Indeed, its goods exports lagged those of regional peers. But...