After enduring one of the deepest downturns in 2020, the UK has enjoyed one of the strongest rebounds in 2021. The ‘easy’ gains from reopening are...

The eurozone pushed on with a strong recovery in 2021, but in many ways that’s been the easy part. With reopening tailwinds mostly exhausted, the...

Our 2021 mainland GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.9% after the 2.6% Q3 expansion was broadly in line with our estimate, and we continue...

With Covid infections rising rapidly again across Europe, the health situation is back under the spotlight. Governments across the region are...

Ordinarily, the strength of recent survey evidence would have tilted the balance further toward a rise in Bank Rate next month. But the discovery...

The SPD, FDP and Green party have struck a deal to form the next German government, which should be in power by early-December. A first reading of...

Our Eurozone Recovery Tracker recorded a sizeable drop over the two weeks to November 7, mainly driven by worsening conditions in health and...

Although reported labour shortages in the eurozone appear to be worsening, our analysis of the underlying dynamics shows a more nuancedicture. We...

As Covid cases continue to rise in Europe, some governments have started to introduce new restrictions, while others have been discussing...

We see little evidence that the outlook for underlying inflation in the eurozone is much changed from a few months ago. In fact, there’s a high...