Daniela Ordonez

Recent Posts

The week was full of events that could potentially become policy shakers. While the PMIs showed economic growth keeps cooling, energy prices...

We estimate France’s fiscal deficit in 2022 will be around €40bn wider than projected by the government in its draft budget, at 6.3% of GDP versus...

Our Recovery Tracker suffered a setback at September’s end, falling 1.1pts to87.6 after reaching a new pandemic high two weeks earlier. Lower...

The eurozone labour market is heating up. We expect around 2 million jobs will be created from Q2 2021 until the end of the year, recovering...

The eurozone is heading into a strong economic rebound this month, driven by a services sector boom as restrictions are dialled back. Services...

We expect eurozone GDP to contract in Q1. European countries have so far faltered in implementing their vaccination programmes, slowing their...

Our baseline forecast assumes that the UK and the EU will strike a limited free-trade agreement that will keep bilateral trade tariff- and...