The DACH region was responsible for almost 25% of domestic arrivals in Europe, over 10% of European international arrivals, and nearly 25% of...

Our baseline forecast assumes that the UK and the EU will strike a limited free-trade agreement that will keep bilateral trade tariff- and...

We expect holiday sales to register a small advance this year, up only 0.6% y/y. While phase one of the recovery proved that fiscally supported...

The services sector partially snapped back in Q3, but the enduring health crisis will make the road to recovery long and uneven. Even after...

The US Recovery Tracker fell 0.6ppts in late October, a third successive drop to the lowest level in 10 weeks. A dangerous cocktail of surging...

There is little correlation between which local areas in the UK saw the fastesteconomic growth in recent years, and which, just before the current...

Some economists have been quick to upgrade their GDP forecasts for next year in response to the news that the Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine...

US construction activity has generally held up better than expected at the start of the Coronavirus pandemic. In light of the above expectation...

Our Fixed Income Focus looks at how post-election volatility has left yields lower and stocks higher. As the reflation trade unwound, the Treasury...

Joe Biden’s victory in the US presidential election will not materially change the growth trajectory for the US and the global economy....